Sentinel Global Affairs & Strategy
When geopolitical risk threatens your capital, supply chain or operating licence — abstract analysis is not enough.
Sentinel supports governments, defence institutions and strategic industries with senior advisory at the intersection of geopolitics, defence and public policy — from Europe to the Indo-Pacific.
Think-tank research with consulting-grade execution.
We support decision-makers facing complex strategic challenges — from horizon scanning and capability planning to crisis exercises and high-level dialogues.
Strategic Intelligence
Geopolitical analysis, country risk and early-warning for governments and strategic industries.
Defence & Security Strategy
Support for national defence planning, force development and capability prioritisation.
Crisis Management & Resilience
Frameworks, exercises and advisory for national crisis management and critical infrastructure.
Policy Engagement
Track 1.5 and Track 2 dialogues, high-level workshops and executive education.
From Europe to the Indo-Pacific.
Headquartered in Europe, Sentinel works across the Euro-Atlantic and Indo-Pacific theatres, with a particular focus on the strategic interface between them.
Regions & Domains →Europe & NATO
Collective defence, deterrence and resilience across the Euro-Atlantic.
Indo-Pacific
Strategic competition, escalation risks and maritime security.
Middle East & North Africa
Regional architectures, proxy conflicts and energy security.
Africa & the Global South
Political risk, external influence operations and partnerships.
How we work, in four lines.
Maxims that govern every Sentinel engagement — short enough to remember, strict enough to act on.
- 01
We engage when the principal already holds eighty percent of the picture — and needs the missing twenty.
- 02
We do not predict the future. We stress-test the decisions that depend on it.
- 03
Independence first. We decline mandates that require us to defend a position rather than examine it.
- 04
Discretion is the deliverable. Nothing produced for a client is reused, repurposed, or named.
A different kind of advisory firm.
Mission-focused
Dedicated to public-sector, defence and security clients.
Independent & non-partisan
Evidence-based analysis and policy-neutral advice.
Pragmatic & implementation-oriented
From strategy papers to concrete roadmaps and exercises.
Discreet & secure
Tailored engagements, high confidentiality, secure handling.
Five working assumptions about the decade ahead.
Europe and the Indo-Pacific are now a single theatre.
Decisions in Brussels, Tokyo and Washington increasingly bind one another. Strategies that treat them as separate are obsolete.
Grey-zone is the default, not the exception.
Sub-threshold pressure on infrastructure, supply chains and information will outlast any single crisis.
Industrial capacity has become a strategic variable.
Stockpiles, throughput and supplier sovereignty now shape doctrine as much as platforms or treaties.
Resilience is a leadership question, not a technical one.
The systems that fail in crisis are rarely the ones engineers worry about.
The next surprise will not look like the last.
We design for the second-order consequences our clients have not yet had time to imagine.
A private advisory — no public publications.
Sentinel works exclusively at the senior, internal level. We do not publish papers, articles or commentary for public distribution. Every deliverable is written for a named principal and circulated under non-disclosure.
- ·Senior, principal-to-principal engagement
- ·Written deliverables addressed to a single recipient
- ·No public commentary, interviews or media output
- ·Confidentiality maintained beyond the mandate
Five undertakings that govern every mandate.
- § 1
No deliverable is retained by Sentinel after a mandate concludes, beyond what the engagement letter requires.
- § 2
No client name, sector or jurisdiction is disclosed — including in marketing, press or future pitches.
- § 3
No analysis produced for one client is reused, repurposed or generalised for another.
- § 4
No member of the team will speak publicly, on or off the record, about a client engagement.
- § 5
All obligations above survive the end of the relationship indefinitely.
Discuss how Sentinel can support your institution.
For a confidential consultation with our partners, please get in touch.